My Best Guess
Following yesterdays post on 5 Predictions for the Next 5 Years here’s my Top 10 2010 Social Media Predictions. Unlike yesterday’s post where I was looking at the bigger trends that would shape our space this is a little more like playing fantasy football. I’m really just guessing.
- Facebook goes public at the end of the year.
- Twitter reaches profitability but does not go public.
- There’s a huge developer backlash against Twitter because they keep building functionality several apps have pioneered.
- Murdoch delists Newscorp sites from Google (actually I doubt he’s ever going to do this but I want him to, just to see what happens).
- Dozens of new journalism startups spring up and quickly garner attention as they hire armies of laid of journalists.
- Murdoch relists Newscorp sites in Google before the years over.
- Phone apps loose their appeal in favor of mobile optimized web pages.
- Google Chrome OS does only slightly better than Ubuntu and fails to draw mainstream support.
- The iPhone looses major market share in 2010 to Android.
- Hyper local journalism fails to gain a sustainable business model beyond individual bloggers.
What are your predictions for 2010?
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1. Foursquare surpasses Yelp.
2. AR applications explode.
3. Google does something big with voice tech.
Posted by Jason Markow | 22. Dec, 2009, 5:27 pmNice ones.
#1 would be interesting for sure and Google is definitely positioning themselves to make some major moves in voice.
Posted by tacanderson | 22. Dec, 2009, 5:36 pm#5.. I think these startups will be targeted niche/local
#10.. (see above)
Posted by garbnzgh | 22. Dec, 2009, 7:57 pmInteresting, I bet you're right. I'm still skeptical of hyper local but that doesn't stop anyone from trying.
Posted by tacanderson | 22. Dec, 2009, 8:17 pmNice & concrete.
It will be interesting to see whether the opacity of Apple’s app-review process contributes to #9.
Posted by Corey Mahoney | 23. Dec, 2009, 3:47 pm#5.. Android is definitely cheaper that iPhone, no doubt iPhone will loose market shares in 2010
Posted by Christina | 27. Dec, 2009, 4:12 pm